DaVinci Institute – Futurist Speaker

Don't Get Blindsided By The Future



My wife Deb and I just returned from a weeklong trip to South Korea where much of our travel inside the country involved riding on the high-speed KTX Train (Korean Transit eXpress) from city to city.

The train is designed for speeds up to 350 km/h (217 mph), but currently tops out at 190 mph. Our final trip from Changwon City in the southern tip of Korea to Seoul in the far north took just 3 hours.

The entire country is 20% smaller than my home state of Colorado, but has a population of over 50 million people, greater than California, Arizona, and Colorado combined.

KTX trains are amazingly efficient with each stop lasting only 3-5 minutes and hundreds of people getting on and off at each stop. Compared to the nightmare that airports have become, where the minimum time between a plane landing and takeoff is well over an hour, and highways that slow to a crawl during most of the day, these trains are breaking down barriers of time and distance all across Korea.

Next month, KTX will connect Seoul’s Incheon Airport with the rest of its network.

Their system works because it has broken down all the barriers – no security lines, no stoplights, no traffic cops, no passport checks or customs stations, just lightning fast trains.

In addition to high-speed trains, they are known for their high-speed networks. South Korea is also rolling out a 5G network in 2017, which is 1,000 times faster than today’s 4G LTE networks.

Yes, it helps to be a small country geographically. But pushing the limits on both transportation and Internet speeds, combined with reducing barriers along the way, makes for a potent combination.

Here’s why global competitiveness and emerging technology are forcing the hands of nearly every country to rid themselves of unnecessary barriers, something I call the Great Barrier Backlash.

Waging War Against Traps 

In 1997 Reed Hasting returned his copy of “Apollo 13” to the video store and was hit with a late fee so big that he was embarrassed to tell his wife about it. Out of this moment of humiliation the idea for Netflix was born, a business that would eventually take down the entire video rental industry, and its excessive fee-charging practices in the process.

If I’m staying in a hotel room, I don’t mind paying mini-bar rates for water and snacks if I know what they cost. I do mind if I drink a bottle of water that I assumed was complementary, only to be tagged with an $8 fee upon checkout.

Most hotels have eliminated sneaky little traps like this in favor of well-posted menus listing all the prices, but many other industries have not.

Credit card companies and banks are notorious for their late payment fees, over limit fees, overdraft fees, and anything else they can find to stack the deck in their favor.

Telecom companies have long hidden sinister fee-traps throughout their networks with the most egregious being the roaming charges that get imposed when traveling abroad.

Even government agencies have bought into this line of thinking, imposing penalties on everything from late tax filings, to wrong-day watering fines, to late utility fees, to parking fines.

In the U.S., penalty traps have become a form of debtor prisons for those unable to comply with the demands of the system. With much of their income being taken from them, they have been reduced to a life of poverty.

The Great Awareness Shift

Today, many young entrepreneurs are looking at the excessive fee-charging practices of business and government with the same kind of righteous anger and opportunistic eyes that motivated Reed Hastings.

As our online communities continue to raise awareness all around the world, those operating within what is considered a legal but ethical grey zone, will find themselves increasingly exposed to public angst.

Here are a few examples that come to mind:

  • Cities that are overly aggressive in issuing speeding and parking tickets will find themselves cast into a social media “no-travel zone.” Both shoppers and travelers will go out of their way to avoid what they construe as a form of visitor harassment. Overall cost to the city in the form of lost revenue will be far greater than what is charged through its penalties.
  • Businesses that employ the use of fee-traps, legal shenanigans, or anything construed as customer abuse will have their tactics bared to the public with a hacker’s bullseye painted squarely on their executive officers.
  • Communities that make it hard to do business will be publicly exposed. Excessive fees, filings, forms, and reporting will be publicly berated, castigated, and red-flagged. Businesses will go elsewhere.
  • Government agencies that still require forms be typed on a typewriter will not only be avoided but may even receive death threats for their stupidity.

It’s no longer possible to hide behind a cloak of secrecy when every person you interact with has the ability to write their own headlines on social media, text a friend, or capture the problem on video.

The New Age of Global Competitiveness

The people of South Korea are very aggressive. They are highly educated, tech savvy, and determined to make a name for themselves.

They have risen from a poverty-stricken, destitute nation to one of the most influential, world-class countries in the world today.

In 1957 South Korea had a lower per capita GDP than Ghana, the poorest country in the world, but today theirs is over 3 times that of China, and over 18 times those living in the penniless squalors of North Korea.

Companies in Japan, China, Singapore, and South Korea are aggressively competing for the same money as businesses in North and South America and Europe.

However, competitiveness is not just about being smarter or more aggressive, it’s also about having fewer barriers to contend with.

  1. Executives that can squeeze in eight meetings a day rather than five because of fewer traffic problems will be more competitive.
  2. Companies that are required to fill out five fewer government forms a year will be more competitive.
  3. People who spend 100 hours less each year resolving accounting issues as a result of questionable fees and erroneous charges will also be far more competitive.
  4. Travelers who are able to circumvent security and passport checks will have far more time to pay attention to other things.
  5. Both people and businesses who spend 40% fewer hours a year doing their taxes will have far more resources to dedicate towards more important issues.

Final Thoughts

In our increasingly fluid society, people and businesses that don’t feel welcome will leave. And they may not just leave the local community, they may move to an entirely different country. Most countries are actively recruiting talented people.

Global power is constantly shifting. The 1800’s was dominated by the British. The 1900’s was the American century. The 2000’s is showing major signs of shifting towards Asia.

One of the major factors in this power shift will be personal effectiveness, and our effectiveness gets far better when we are able to strip away at all the numerous barriers we all have to contend with.

On a recent trip to Amsterdam, I texted 2 photos to Deb, only to get tagged with a $24 charge. Normal texts only cost $.50 but texting photos, unbeknownst to me, costs far more.

Sneaky charges like this are very disruptive. They disrupt our normal thinking, divert attention, and create a painful wariness about using online services in an era where online services can be the critical difference between success and failure.

When it comes to fee traps, fines and penalties, the monetary gains of the few, create losses for the many. They represent unnecessary barriers to progress, and unnecessary challenges at a time where only the most resilient will survive.

By Futurist Thomas Frey

Author of “Communicating with the Future” – the book that changes everything




7 Responses to “The Great Barrier Backlash”

Comments List

    • FuturistSpeaker


      To answer your question, we’re still in the speculation stage of what 5G has to offer.

      South Korea is making a $1.5 billion investment in 5G infrastructure, and intends to roll out a trial network by 2017, with full availability for the country by 2020. This is an ideal testing ground, given its dense, compact geography and pervasive mobile phone usage. A full 97.7% of the 18-24 age group uses a smart phone.

      Not sure I understand the implications of this, but one promising upgrades is multiple input multiple output (MiMo) technology, which uses multiple small antennae to service each individual data stream. Samsung successfully tested advanced MiMo antennae with data speeds at 1 gigabyte per second in May, 2013.

      Some of the topics I’ve been speculating on are search engines for the physical world, self-rendering 3D avatars that interact with us in real life, cyber-twins that enable us to constantly interact with much smarter virtual versions of ourselves, and the 10-second interface where we will be able to answer any question asked within 10 second (the next iteration will be the 10 millisecond interface).

      I’ve also been predicting the demise of any industry based on human fallibility. With super fast networks, everything becomes too near-term predictable, so the casinos in Las Vegas and the stock market may be doomed. However it does open the door for entrepreneurs to come in and reinvent those industries. (Details here http://www.futuristspeaker.com/2012/12/will-big-data-destroy-the-stock-market/)

      Hope this helps,

      Thomas Frey

  1. Leland Curkendall

    Another article right on point. After standing in line at London Heathrow on Tuesday for, literally, FIVE HOURS, I’m beginning to get Tom’s point about high-speed rail. Although… there’s not much in the way of railway between Europe and the U.S. (remember that 1980’s song by Steely Dan, I.G.Y., that had the line:

    “On that train all graphite and glitter
    Undersea by rail
    Ninety minutes from New York to Paris
    Well by seventy-six we’ll be A.O.K.”

    Maybe 2076?

    Lee Curkendall

  2. Noel Hodson

    A spot on forecast. All hidden excessive business margins will be seen via the Internet and consumers will move to honest suppliers. My Utopian novel, AD2516-After-Global-Warming, takes it further, by eliminating money (and it works), to the consternation of a time-shifted US billionaire from the year 2000.
    Two examples of sneaky fee traps – tea in Venice’s St Marks Square $50 a pop – and car parking in Oxford on a wet dark evening, with all signs obscured, & where all visitors assume its free after hours – but it is charged up to 10.30pm – or suffer a vicious $100 fine. Long live the Information Society.

  3. Mark Waser

    It’s a shame that you didn’t use the word TRAP in the title rather than barrier. Barriers can be both good and bad since they can wall off the harmful (regulation) as well as get in the way. Selfish traps need to be eliminated — but too many oligarchs have benefited from the removal of pro-social regulatory barriers.

  4. Gavin

    Too much rent seeking masquerading as genuine business.

    Society is full of people exploiting others, some would say this is just good business though as you paid the charge for the photo text.

    If no extra value is produced/created by the transaction and it is just a one sided transaction in effect or the price is extortionate, I would say it is a fraud.


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You were fanstastic

Thank you Thomas for a wonderful event!  You were fantastic, the presentation was fantastic and I heard nothing but rave comments.

Tim Gomes, Topaz Lighting and Electric

You were a real hit…

Thank you for being such an incredible speaker and discussion leader for us all yesterday evening.  The feedback last night and throughout this morning has been phenomenal. Our attendees tend to be very smart, discerning and very critical – and you were a real hit with all of them. That’s quite the accomplishment!

Maggie Fouquet President, IBCircle