1. Megaproject 1

    Megaprojects Set to Explode to 24% of Global GDP Within a Decade

    Gone are the days where people are impressed by projects costing $10-$50 million or even $100 million. We are witnessing an explosion in the number of $1 billion+ projects with some, like the artificial archipelago being built in Azerbaijan, Turkey’s massive Urban Renewal project in Istanbul, and the new construction of Masjid Al Haram in Saudi Arabia each exceeding $100 billion. But even these…Read More

  2. Nine Tough Questions 1

    Five Tough Questions: The Warsaw School of Economics Interview

    The Warsaw School of Economics is the oldest, most prestigious, and top-ranked business school in Poland. Dr. Piotr Turek received his PhD in Economics there and went on to become a fellow futurist and new media expert in Warsaw where he works as a journalist, lecturer and mobile/web services expert. In early January, Piotr contacted me and asked if he could interview me for a series of publicatio…Read More

  3. Driverless cars 8

    128 Things that will disappear in the driverless car era

    I started writing this column while I was in Manila, Philippines for a talk with UnionBank, one of the most innovative banks I’ve ever come across. Driving across Manila is often a painful experience with far too many cars locking up all possible arterials, and nowhere near enough money to redesign and build the needed infrastructure. But this is not unique to Manila. As I’ve traveled around t…Read More

  4. AI Democracy 2

    Will Artificial Intelligence Improve Democracy or Destroy It?

    There’s a big difference between what a person wants and what they need. On one hand we need healthy food, a good night’s rest, and decent medical care. But a little voice inside our heads has us craving dinner at Gordon Ramsay’s, an overnight stay at the Ritz Carlton, and a spa weekend at the St. Regis in Aspen to fix whatever is wrong. The same is true with countries. There’s a big diffe…Read More

  5. Fixing-Sales-Tax-4

    Fixing our Insanely Broken Sales Tax System

    At a recent visit to our local hairdresser, my wife and I were informed by the enterprising young lady that she was no longer selling her line of retail hair products. Filling out the monthly sales tax reports had simply become too onerous, and the profits too small to justify the time. This was not the first time I’d heard of someone “throwing in the towel” on their plans for selling produc…Read More

  6. Futurist-Hall-of-Fame-1af

    Introducing the Futurist Hall of Fame

    Over the coming months the DaVinci Institute will be unveiling the world’s first Futurist Hall of Fame. As with other “hall of fame” efforts, this one will be dedicated to drawing attention to those who have contributed the most to our thinking about the future. To be sure, the first iteration of this Hall of Fame will be meager. It will be a hall with photos and videos not sculptures, homeg…Read More

  7. Super-Scalability-1

    Entering the Era of Super Scalability – The Billion-Benchmark Club

    It was a monumental event that no one noticed. Just before 1800 the number of people on earth had climbed to what was then believed to be an astronomically large number – 1 billion. While this was indeed a landmark event, the occasion passed without fanfare. The combination of too few demographers and disjointed communications between countries caused the entire planet to miss the occasion. Unti…Read More

  8. Man-vs-machine-11

    How Long Before a Robot Chef Beats an Iron Chef?

    Will humans soon be battling for their survival against robots? Even though this has become a favorite Hollywood theme, the likelihood of that happening is nearly zero. Yes, we will have many clashes with human-controlled robots doing battle with other humans or human-controlled robots, but not without people in the background. The age-old idea of man vs. machine is far more nuanced and complicate…Read More

  9. Social-Media-Polarization-1

    Does Social Media have a Polarization Problem?

    Wael Ghonim was a young computer engineer working for Google in Egypt when he became a central figure in the events leading up to the Arab Spring in 2011. In early 2011, Wael created a Facebook page titled, “A Revolution against Corruption, Injustice and Dictatorship,” and the number of followers quickly mushroomed. On Jan 14th he posed a question to the 300,000 followers of the page:…Read More

  10. Top-Stories-FuturistSpeaker

    Top 10 Columns for 2015

    2015 saw 42 new unicorn companies ($1B+ valuation) take center stage, the most ever, and a clear indication that the scalability of Internet will redefine the business landscape for generations to come. For this reason, no industries are safe, nor should they be. Many are anxiously awaiting drone delivery from companies like Amazon, but few realize the vast majority of drone delivery will happen o…Read More