Business owners today are actively deciding whether their next hire should be a person or a machine. After all, machines can work in the dark and don’t come with decades of HR case law requiring time off for holidays, personal illness, excessive overtime, chronic stress or anxiety.

If you’ve not heard the phrase “technological unemployment,” brace yourself; you’ll be hearing it a lot over the coming years.

Technology is automating jobs out of existence at a record clip, and it’s only getting started.

Yes, my predictions of endangered jobs will likely strike fear into the hearts of countless millions trying to find meaningful work. But while crystal balls everywhere are showing massive changes on the horizon, it’s not all negative news.

For those well attuned to the top three skills needed for the future – adaptability, flexibility, and resourcefulness – there will be more opportunities than they can possibly imagine.

As an example, for people who lived 150 years ago, having never seen a car, the thought of traveling 1,000 miles seemed like an impossible journey. But today, 1,000-mile trips are not only common, they’re trivial.

This is precisely the shift in perspective we’re about to go through as the tools at our disposal begin to increase our capabilities exponentially.

As I describe the following endangered jobs, understand there will be thousands of derivative career paths ready to surface from the shadows.

We live in unbelievably exciting time, and those who master the fine art of controlling their own destiny will rise to the inspiring new lifestyle category of “rogue commanders of the known universe.”

Stained glass driverless car

Cause of Destruction: Driverless Cars

When DARPA launched their first Grand Challenge in 2004, the idea of autonomous driverless vehicles for everyone seemed like a plot for a bad science fiction novel about the far distant future. The results of the first competition even bore that out with few of the entrants even getting past the starting blocks.

The 2005 contest, however, was far different with five teams completing the 132-mile course through the dessert, setting the stage for the 2007 DARPA Urban Challenge. The Urban Challenge proved for all that these vehicles were rapidly coming up the acceptance curve.

Over the past few years, Google’s involvement has made driverless cars a common water cooler topic, causing virtually every transportation company in the world to launch their own driverless research team working on autonomous features.

Between now and 2030, driverless features will pave the way for fully autonomous vehicles and the demand for drivers will begin to plummet. On-demand transportation services, where people can hail a driverless vehicle at any time will become a staple of everyday metro living.

Endangered Jobs


1. Taxi Driver

2. Limo driver

3. Bus drivers

4. Rental car personnel

Delivery Positions

5. Truck drivers

6. Mail carriers

Public Safety

7. Traffic cops

8. Meter maids

9. Traffic court judges

10. Traffic court lawyers

11. Traffic court DAs

12. Traffic court support staff


13. Parking lot attendants

14. Valet attendants

15. Car wash workers

Cause of Destruction: Flying Drones

Flying drones will be configured into thousands of different forms, shapes, and sizes. They can be low flying, high flying, tiny or huge, silent or noisy, super-visible or totally invisible, your best friend, or your worst enemy.

Without the proper protections, drones can be dangerous. The same drones that deliver food and water can also deliver bombs and poison. We may very well have drones watching the workers who watch the drones, and even that may not be enough.

Even though drones will be eliminating huge numbers of jobs, they will be creating tons of new opportunities for professions that haven’t been invented yet.

That said, here are a few of the jobs that drones will help disappear.

Endangered Jobs

Delivery Positions

16. Courier service

17. Food delivery

18. Pizza delivery

19. Postal delivery


20. Crop monitors/consultants

21. Spraying services

22. Shepherds

23. Wranglers/herders

24. Varmint exterminators


25. Land and field surveyors

26. Environmental engineers

27. Geologists

Emergency Rescue

28. Emergency response teams

29. Search and rescue teams

30. Firefighters

News Services

31. Mobile news trucks

Remote Monitoring

32. Construction site monitors

33. Building inspectors

34. Security guards

35. Parole officers

Cause of Destruction: 3D Printers 

3D printing, often described to as additive manufacturing, is a process for making three dimensional parts and objects from a digital model. 3D printing uses “additive processes,” to create an object by adding layer upon layer of material until it’s complete.

Manufacturing in the past relied on subtractive processes where blocks of metal, wood, or other material has material removed with drills, laser cutters, and other machines until the final part was complete. This involved skilled machine operators and material handlers.

3D printing reduces the need for skilled operators as well as the need for expensive machines. As a result, parts can be manufactured locally for less money than even the cheapest labor in foreign manufacturing plants.

This technology is already being used in many fields: jewelry, footwear, industrial design, architecture, engineering and construction, automotive, aerospace, dental and medical industries, education, geographic information systems, civil engineering, and many others.

Endangered Jobs


36. Plastic press operators

37. Machinists

38. Shipping & receiving

39. Union representatives

40. Warehouse workers

Cause of Destruction: Contour Crafting

Contour Crafting is a form of 3D printing that uses robotic arms and nozzles to squeeze out layers of concrete or other materials, moving back and forth over a set path in order to fabricate large objects such as houses. It is a construction technology that has great potential for low-cost, customized buildings that are quicker to make, reducing energy and emissions along the way.

A few months ago the WinSun Decoration Design Engineering Company used contour crafting to “print” 10 houses in a single day using a massive printer that was 490 feet long, 33 feet wide, and 20 feet deep.

Last week, an Italian 3D printer company named WASP, demonstrated a giant, three-armed printer filled with mud and fiber to build extremely cheap houses in some of the most remote places on Earth.

This type of technology will have major implications on all construction, building, and home repair jobs.

Endangered Jobs

Home Construction

41. Carpenters

42. Concrete workers

43. Home remodeling

44. City planners

45. Homeowner insurance agents

46. Real estate agents

Cause of Destruction: Big Data & Artificial Intelligence

It’s becoming an ever increasingly blurred line between big data and artificial intelligence.

A few months ago, Stephen Hawking opened the world’s eyes to the dangers of artificial intelligence (AI), warning that it has the potential of outsmarting humans in the financial markets.

More recently, Elon Musk made headlines when he said artificial intelligence could be “unleashing the demons,” and researchers from some of the top U.S. universities say he’s not wrong.

In spite of growing fears, AI will be entering our lives in many different ways ranging from smart devices, to automated decision-makers, to synthetic designers.

When Kristian Hammond, CTO of Narrative Sciences predicted, “By 2030, 90% of all the news will be written by computers,” he was referring to AI software that is quickly coming up the learning curve.

Endangered Jobs


47. News reporters

48. Sports reporters

49. Wall street reporters

50. Journalists

51. Authors


52. Military planners

53. Cryptographers


54. Dietitians

55. Nutritionists

56. Doctors

57. Sonographers

58. Phlebotomists

59. Radiologists

60. Psychotherapists

61. Counselors/psychologists

Financial Services

62. Financial planners/advisors

63. Accountants

64. Tax advisors

65. Auditors

66. Bookkeepers

Legal Services

67. Lawyers

68. Compliance officers/workers

69. Bill collectors


70. Meeting/event planners

71. Cost estimators

72. Fitness coaches

73. Logisticians

74. Interpreters/translators

75. Customer service reps

76. Teachers

Cause of Destruction: Mass Energy Storage 

Any form of mass energy storage will dramatically improve renewable energy’s role in the marketplace. The first companies to commercialize utility-scale energy storage stand to make a fortune and pioneer some of the most significant advancements to the world’s power generation and distribution system in decades.

While we are not quite there yet, significant technological breakthroughs are on the horizon and major installations will soon become commonplace.

Large-scale methods of storing energy storage include flywheels, compressed air energy storage, hydrogen storage, thermal energy storage, and power to gas. Smaller scale commercial application-specific storage methods include flywheels, capacitors and super-capacitors.

In 5 – 10 years the mass, grid-scale, bulk energy storage industry will likely be a rapidly growing industry much as solar and wind are today. Electricity generated but not consumed is a waste of natural resources and money lost. Energy storage will change all that.

Endangered Jobs

77. Energy planners

78. Environmental designers

79. Energy auditors

80. Power plant operators

81. Miners

82. Oil well drillers, roughnecks,

83. Geologists

84. Meter readers

85. Gas/propane delivery

Cause of Destruction: Robots

Robots taking jobs from manufacturing workers has been happening for decades. But rapidly advancing software will spread the threat of job-killing automation to nearly every occupation.

Anything that can be automated will be. A robotic “doc-in-a-box” will help diagnose routine medical problems in many areas, while other machines will perform surgeries and other procedures.

If the human touch is not essential to the task, it’s fair to assume that it will be automated away.

Over the coming decades, robots will enter the lives of every person on earth on far more levels than we ever dreamed possible.

Endangered Jobs


86. Retail clerks

87. Checkout clerks

88. Stockers

89. Inventory controllers

90. Sign spinners


91. Surgeons

92. Home healthcare

93. Pharmacists

94. Veterinarians


95. Painters

96. Janitors

97. Landscapers

98. Pool cleaners

99. Grounds keepers

100. Exterminators

101. Lumberjacks

Final Thoughts

The question remains, will technology become a net-destroyer of jobs or a net-creator?

For each of the endangered jobs listed above, I can easily come up with several logical offshoots that may amount to a net increase in jobs.

As an example, traditional lawyers may transition into super-lawyers handling 10X the caseload of lawyers today. Limo drivers may become fleet operators managing 50-100 cars at a time. Painters may become conductors of paint symphonies with robot painters completing entire houses in less than an hour.

If it cost a tenth as much to paint your house, you’ll simply do it more often. This same line of thinking applies to washing your car, traveling around the world, and buying designer clothes.

In a recent column I wrote titled, “The Laws of Exponential Capabilities” I explain how every exponential decrease in effort create an equal and opposite exponential increase in capabilities. As today’s significant accomplishments become more common, mega-accomplishments will take their place, and we need to set our sights on far more of tomorrow’s “mega-accomplishments.”

It is simply not possible to run out of work to do in the world. But whether or not there will be a job tied to the work that needs to be done is another matter entirely.

By Futurist Thomas Frey

Author of “Epiphany Z – 8 Radical Visions for Transforming Your Future

32 Responses to “101 Endangered Jobs by 2030”

Comments List

  1. <a href='http://www.MyGreetly.com' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>Dave</a>

    Very interesting article. The biggest surprise included on the list, for me, was lawyer. As M2M automation begins to play a significant role, I can envision an entanglement of lawsuits. I would be interested in hearing more about this profession in particular. Given that many of the professions included are considered "low skill", I was surprised receptionist was not on the list. Today you can combine Greetly (https://mygreetly.com/, an automated receptionist app for iPad) with Ring Central or Ruby Receptionist (http://www.ringcentral.com/, http://www.callruby.com/) to get most of the functions of a live receptionist for about 2% of the annual cost - with no overtime pay or time off for breaks, lunch, vacations or sick days.
    • FuturistSpeaker

      Hi Dave, Thanks for the feedback. Automation actually enables complexity in some interesting ways, and while lawyers thrived on solving complex problems, we now have the ability to circumvent the need for lawyers on many levels. Most of the bread and butter work of lawyers in the past involved things like writing contracts, articles of incorporation, non-disclosure agreements, etc. Most of that work has been reduced to fill-in-the-blank forms that are available online. While there are still many ways for things to go sideways and we enter a period necessitating more legal attention, the trend has been in the other direction. Yes, I forgot to include receptionist. Good one to add. Futurist Thomas Frey
    • <a href='http://phoneanswering.net' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>Patrick at Cloud Phone Answering</a>

      On-site receptionist may be added on the list. Businesses nowadays may just hire a virtual receptionist from Cloud Phone Answering (http://phoneanswering.net) to save on costs.
  2. <a href='http://www.urbinorbits.com' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>Angela Conte</a>

    Nice start to thinking about the changes but some I think were left off and some may not be so extinguishable. Some big ones left off are restaurant servers, childcare workers and teachers. Where I question the areas of limited needs would be in anything requiring human connection. We don't go to doctors and psychologist now because they have answers we can't get ourselves, and have been available for decades, we go to them for the social human connection and to save us time from searching out the information ourselves. It would be interesting for you to develop a list of those new jobs around the corner. I could see more data processors, either live or systems designers, to help us sort through all the information. The finer points of human understanding and intuition will most likely never be something computers will be able to do.
    • FuturistSpeaker

      Angela, You're right, there are several more that could be added to this list. I actually thought of a dozen or so more after I posted it. This is by no means a comprehensive list. Regarding a list of future jobs, I actually took a stab at it a few months back with a list of 162 of them - http://www.futuristspeaker.com/2014/03/162-future-jobs-preparing-for-jobs-that-dont-yet-exist/ Futurist Thomas Frey
  3. Julie Pithers

    In the first year of its invention, Artificial Intelligence (AI) will kill 23 people in the U.S. alone. These won’t be criminals chased down by Robocop. These will be normal people, probably upper middle class because they have the money to be early adopters of technology. That number will go up to 1600 kills in just ten years and double every ten years after that until finally nearly 100 people a day will be killed by a machine with Artificial Intelligence just because they weren’t paying attention, or they thought they could outsmart AI. That’s 30,000 regular people, going about their day, killed every year. Some years that will go as high as 54,000 civilians killed before we invent “safety” devices for these things – and we haven’t even gone war with them! Who would invent such a thing? Why on earth would we even consider working on developing Artificial Intelligence? Oh wait. Sorry. These are the historical statistics for the automobile.
    • FuturistSpeaker

      Thanks Julie, Fascinating way of driving your point home. We can only hope to be smarter about AI, but it could be worse. We may need AIs to help us tiptoe through the dangers of other AIs. Thanks for adding to the discussion. Futurist Thomas Frey
  4. Richard H

    Hi Thomas, The bigger question is, what is work? Who is actually productive today? How productive should a person be to have material comfort and the possibility of self-actualisation? For most it's attending the office and spending most of it doing "busy work". I'm sure this makes employment statistics look great but it isn't very rewarding. For example; Japanese office culture and work ethic would kill me, there's a stoic sense of futility in Japanese culture today after the tsunami and an aging population demographic. The old model of growth isn't making people happy, we should be focusing on Gross Domestic Happiness! Thanks, Richard H
  5. Steve

    Tom I've been thinking specifically about self-driving cars for a good while and would like your thoughts on some specific scenarios. I think this tech will work well in highly concentrated, urban areas. For specific uses. I live in a rural area. I drive a pickup. I often drive my pickup in fields, woods etc. How does self driving tech address the new sapling that just grew this spring? GPS and satellite won't address the new gully last weeks rain carved. Since I have a pickup, my pals often put the strong arm on me to help them move. I have to put my vehicle in some "non-standard" places. Workmen on job sites often do as well. America is vastly more rural than urban. I recognize that as self driven vehicles become more common, insurance rates will skyrocket for people that still drive. Guess what? Those are the less well-off, more rural folks that A. Can't afford either the tech or the insurance, and B. Need to put their cars where the tech won't go. Understanding that the country is becoming more urbanized, how does society address these issues? Thanks!
  6. Michael Lusk

    Great article, with pertinent lists of endangered jobs by sector. I'd like to add a note on big data, AI and robots (which already include drones and driverless cars). These items are all part of a common phenomenon. Around 50 years ago, Isaac Asimov brought the related processes to life in his Robots novels. Asimov went deep. He thought carefully about the interplay of technology, sociology and political legitimacy in AI-enabled societies. He contributed the insight that a society in which there are thousands of robots per person is comparable to ancient Sparta, which was always on guard against a helot revolt. Asimov posited that strong societal pressure would enforce some strict limitations on robotic development. His "three laws of robotics" produced two interesting corollaries: (1) humanoid robots only and (2) no incorporation of AI into other devices, especially not into weaponized systems. So far we have lots of (mainly software) robots and no effective protection against them. Unless we develop suitable protections, the last human profession will be the fused field of AI/big data/robotics. It is a field in which few, if any, human colleagues will endure for long. Robots will be faster, smarter, possibly more creative and certainly less inhibited.
  7. <a href='https://youtube.com' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>Malinda</a>

    Why do people still read paper newspapers when in this technological world all of it is accessible online?
  8. I. David Daniels

    Tom, I believe wholeheartedly that manual fire protection is a dying industry. Not only have fires decreased over 50% in the last 30 years, the very concept of putting humans at risk to protect property or natural resources is a ridiculous notion regardless. There is a body of evidence to suggest that the United States kills more firefighters in the line of duty than the rest of the world combined on annual basis. An example is the 19 firefighters killed in 2013 Prescott, AZ fighting a wild land fire. Drones could certainly extinguish major wild land fires with little or no risk to humans as a result of the fire control efforts. Drones could also extend the ability of commanders at fires in the built environment rather than having large numbers of supervisors and chiefs to monitor the actions of firefighters. The other major issue for the current fire protection system is the cost, which is estimated to be over $300 billion per year nationally. This figure includes nearly $200 billion in the costs and value of human involvement ins fire protection. Robots could extent the ability of a small number of humans to address fires and could do so a significant diminished cost to local governments which spend any from 15 - 35 % of property tax collections on fire protection. Driver-less fire engines could respond via road or drones via air to reduce response time which is generally a critical factor in situations where fires actual do occur. What will likely remain will be the response of humans to natural disasters in places in the world that are not as technologically advanced. These areas would be less accepting of AI interaction with them during a potentially life threatening situation. The loss of jobs will likely occur in the more technologically accepting nations. Finally another interesting point. If you assume that a generation is 30 years, 2033 will actually be the end of the 6th generation of paid fire services in the United States. Your prediction suggests that it could be the last, and I think your accurate in that assessment.
  9. <a href='http://Website' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>Ross Brennan</a>

    Very interesting article and I don't doubt that you are correct with many of your predictions. My concern with these scenarios is the hole that will left in the economic cycle. Robots, computer algorithms, mechanisations, fake receptionists etc, may well do the work very much cheaper than their human counterparts, but they do not spend. They do not need a house built, appliances and a car, nights out on the town, clothes, entertainment etc...... I do not think it is a particularly positive move for businesses if everyone of them does embrace this trend. Many, if not all, businesses rely on people spending money. People can't spend money if there are no jobs. I keep hearing from economists and politicians and high tech company advocates that there will be new jobs, nut no one seems to know what these jobs will be. Can you enlighten us?
  10. zack

    I want to know if an optician is an endangered job in futur and if it is endangered why it is endangered I'm looking to hear from you as soon as possible and thank you very much
  11. Tamara Reyna

    Great article! However, I don't believe all the jobs you listed will be endangered. For instance, have you ever made a phone call that is automated and, frustrating? All you want is to talk to a human operator? So yes, tech. can and will replace a lot of jobs but, in many instances, people will demand the human touch so to speak. An earlier reply someone mentioned childcare being replaced. Come on now. I highly doubt that one. With all this said your article didn't mention all the jobs that will be created as a result of tech. America needs to get on the ball with education. I think that a lot of the created jobs will demand a better-educated society.
  12. Kitty

    Though most of your list is likely to be accurate as another poster said people will always want a human option, I foresee there being two branches of assorted fields being created as a result of advanced in technology. A human one and AI one, both meant for those who wish to use them. One thing you forgot to take into account is that technology can change course quickly. Around the year 1999 it was heading a different direction, specifically if certain things hadn't happened it would have gone the sustainable green technology route. Instead of replacing us it would have been heading towards working with us as partners. Then things changed, and technology changed course. Or more specifically society changed its mind about what it wanted. Instead of wanting to go a sustainable route we wanted a super advanced technology society planet be damned. As a result many fields of technology are being left behind, ones we need. Ai can't make certain decisions that a human can, at least not in the next thirty years. What will exist will be pseudo ai, it's probable the first true "AI" will actually be digitized human minds from real people. Which itself isn't true AI. Another thing these robots will at first do what they are programmed to do, Cureent programming and technology isn't close to true AI since advances are being made by a completely different system of robotics and programming than what would be needed. Also some things you listed won't be replaced by robots due to ethical and security reasons. The one thing about AI and robotics is the software can be hacked and infected. There is no such thing as a completely secure system, and with all the processes and programs within such advanced systems there will be loads of back doors. In many jobs such a security risk makes the concept of them being completely replaced by robots highly unlikely. You also have the economic issue. The people who work in software development claiming these advances will make new jobs are not being genuine. The current track of technological development will not create new jobs. Not only that it has a high chance of stagnating society, and causing an economic gap the likes of which has never been seen before. That and I genuinely believe those developing the technologies havnt been on a road trip lately, don't keep an eye on tech and world news themselves, and havnt read the I,Robot series. It's also possible they don't care. Back to the jobs thing, automating systems never leads to new jobs. With rare skills and trades disappearing left and right, and society as a whole focused on tech advanced above all else where will these jobs come from? Programmers and technological engineers are not going to make new jobs, robots and AI won't make new jobs, algorithms won't make new jobs. They take jobs away, some jobs on your list could do with being roboticized but not all. Authors will never be replaced by AI because we can't program creativity, creativity is like charisma you have it or you don't. Creativity is also like genius it comes in many different forms, and let's face it science still doesn't know where true genius comes from. Writing a good immersive story requires medium to high creativity and skill, the best writers in the world have had lives that were far from easy. Like comedians the best authors have a lifetime of problems, they channel and draw inspiration from these to create tales that draw you into new worlds. AI can't do that, because again we can't program creativity. I believe that in the future artists and designers, all those in the creative and performing arts fields, will be some of the most valued skills. Because we can't replicate them with robots and algorithms. Many other jobs you listed have fields within them that require finesse, judgement, and skill that AI and robots won't be able to replicate. Those will always require humans, Besides the world is in for another technological shift soon, our current direction is unsustainable. The new jobs will come from that direction not the current one. If your wondering yes this direction will still involve robots, but will also have bio technology and green technology and other branches in equal if not more powerful force alongside it. That is if the power grid and bones of the net don't crash and burn first. Which is likely of something isn't done. I'm also a futurist, but I don't pin all my hopes on robotics, AI, and algorithms because to do so is folly. The best future is a combination of all technologies working alongside humans, both humans and technology augmenting the other in development and growth. However right now what really needs to happen is a balancing of the technologies, and society needs to have time to evolve to cope with existing ones. There needs to be a way to balance the existing problems we have the technology will make worse. Otherwise this future we are heading for will not be a good one, but a dystopia.
    • v

      I agree! you can never engineer natural human creativity, after all, if it wasn't for humans having the creative idea to create the robots, they wouldn't even exist in the first place. you can dupe original thoughts.
  13. Lyra

    Hi, I'm 13 years old and I was thinking of studying law when I am older but now, after hearing many negative things about the future of lawyers, I'm not so sure. Although this article has told me what jobs could be replaced by technology in the future, what I'm still questioning is what would be the top jobs for people when I'm an adult? I have high standards for my self and hope to get a really good job when I'm older and I would like an idea of what to aim for. Thanks for reading, please reply.
    • FuturistSpeaker

      Hi Lyra, Yes there will still be lawyer jobs in 2030, although not as many of them. More importantly the position itself will have changed. The tools that we work with will have evolved and the work performed by attorneys will also evolve. In addition to the career path you choose for yourself, the most important talents for you to develop will be things like - resourceful, resilient, determined, reliable, flexible, ingenuity, well-connected, and influential. As far as other possible career paths, there will many more positions for programmers, material science experts, ethicists, engineers, and strategists. Hope this helps, Thomas Frey
    • Carmen

      The HOT jobs will be related to robotics /hardware /software securities, hardware securities block chain /medicine gene science, genomics,e-commerce
  14. Marty Boy

    How do we know this will happen by 2030? What if a natural disaster hit the earth (like the solar flares from the sun) or another major world war breaks out (well on the cards). I agree skilled workers can adapt much better than lower skilled manual workers, but why the arrogant assumption that computers "will take over" like computers are "Gods". Already the scandal involving the US intelligence Govt spying has seen the Russian & Chinese Govts (despite their own advanced computer technology) revert back to the old manual typewriter for TOP SECRET documents, due to privacy/espionage concerns. Don't hold your breath computers will replace most skilled occupations, computers are like people too, they too can be afflicted by "viruses".
    • FuturistSpeaker

      Hi Marty, You're right, any number of wild card scenarios can play out and cause what I've described to look vastly different. Global pandemics, wars, and giant solar flares could undermine most of our advances. One common fallacy is that machines are replacing people. The reality is that machines don’t work without humans. A more accurate description is that a large number of people are being replaced by a smaller number of people using machines. New jobs will be created quickly, but my sense is that we're in for lots of retraining in the future. Futurist Thomas Frey
      • Matthewwatson

        Maybe i would imagine that training itself would require new jobs to be created. I would imagine that new jobs will also be in job placement and training. We are already starting to see a creation in corporate traininers and an increase of use of many in recruitment agencies. I can only imagine seeing th is trend increase. I also do hope that there could be jobs that would help others make difficult decisions and figure out what would be good for them such as educational consultant and even energy advisors since there will be many choices of energy for thier homes. These possibilities have made me wonder why the nutrionist is on the list since thier job requires helping other people figure out what foods an individual would need to eat. This would take alot of negotiating ,decision making , and social interaction. I would imagine that regulatory factors could also affect the creation of many jobs too.Such legalization ,privatization,or even deregulation and regulations. For example the legalization of marajuana and protitution has created many jobs inside and outside of those industry.Deregulation has created many jobs in the real estate industry,but has destroyed lowered the need of flight attendants. I only see more of this trend in the future.
  15. Olive

    Unfortunately my only talent is art, and here I am recently trying to get a real estate license because I couldn't have a career in art. Now I find out that real estate agents won't be valued in the next ten years, and this makes me feel hopeless. What about the people that are not science minded? What direction should they head in?
    • Matthewwatson

      There are many jobs that are art related such as craft making ,stage art,product deaigner, cosmotology etc .It really depends on what you are good at.I would only imagine jobs with high social interaction. Will also be in high demand. Art goes into many things. But it seems that ecommerce is the best bet or self employment
  16. Matthewwatson

    I would imagine retraining would employ many people in the human resources and recruitment fields. But with so many new choices of education.People outside of school will need help figuring out what jobs are out there for them and what path they should choose with their financial situation ,interests , and skills .This may require financial services. The same thing is happening with energy with so many choices people will need help figuring out what will work for them. Regulatory issues also play a roll since new services will be legalized.Some jobs are effected negatively.For example waste management jobs had a wage decrease due to privatization or the massive decrease of flight attendants during the 1970's due to deregulation. I'm a little surprise that doctors and nutritionists are on this list. Since both require decision making and negotiation. Receptionist are mainly shifting towards the medical field and focus on making sure the patient receives service.
    • Matthewwatson

      I also diagree with the idea of realestate agents since the houses will simply need to be sold. Infact they might need to be incharge of ordering a house that fits a customer's needs and wants. I would imagine house insurance would need to go towards paying for damages of the house and the replacement of furniture and loss items after disastors. Tech obviously won't stop nature. There also might be an increase for green real estate. So alternative materials. Carwash workers are still needed to make sure the car stays clean they are clearly as important as autorepair and insurance workers.
  17. Peter Hall

    You forgot to add... Seamen Ship's Officers Wharf labour Crane drivers Tugboat crew Pilots, marine and aviation. Baggage handlers Air traffic controllers Ship and aircraft refuellers Train drivers Railway signalmen All forms of routine Administration Programmers Architects and my list also includes your list. This is only a start. The list of automation replaced jobs will only increase. But we also have to consider the future from a peak resources perspective. As resources run out, old jobs will come back again, as once a robot breaks down in a world where resources are lacking, they will be too expensive to replace. Humans will become necessary again.
  18. <a href='http://greensteininstitute.com' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>M A Greenstein</a>

    Thomas, as always you provide a clear roadmap to naming future inventions and challenges. I am most curious about your endangered list that includes veterinarians. I can understand AI addressing diagnostic, analytic and even surgical work, but removing humans from the equation entirely? Please help us understand your vision here.
    • FuturistSpeaker

      As we add sensors to both humans and animals, we quickly reach a point where we have to automate diagnostics. Both doctors and veterinarians will be competing with A.I. on a certain level. There will indeed still be jobs for people who want to work with animals, but it will likely be framed around new professions using next generation tools and techniques.
  19. Heidi Heard

    Regarding why people still read paper/print newspapers, perhaps for the same reason people still buy books printed on paper. There is an esoteric quality of days gone by, when one reads a print newspaper, something tangible you can hold in your hands, and the same to be said for a book that is printed on paper, rather than an electronic book. Even though AI is advancing, there will be people who will still seek out a newspaper, or a book, that is not electronic. The human element is something that people are finding sadly lacking. If anybody has ever seen the movie 2001: A Space Odyssey, the ending scene where HAL 9000, the super-computer takes over the ship, is a disquieting picture of the future.
  20. Vic

    Hi, I'm a 15 year old and I wanted to be an environmental scientist/engineer when I am older, why would the job be extinct? wouldn't there be more jabs for that sector because the environment is such a large issue nowadays? I guess if there's no demand for it by the time I graduate university, I'll just change my plans and study programming/software dev instead, maybe even robotics. sucks though, I really love natural sciences :/

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